Transcript [00:00] Hey everyone. Uh, this is the Iran [00:03] update. It's going to be the first of [00:04] two Iran updates for today, focusing on [00:07] different aspects of what's going on [00:09] there. This update is going to focus on [00:12] the potential for regime change and [00:15] what's going on on that front. I've been [00:17] emphasizing in a lot of my videos, and I [00:19] want to make this very clear. Bombing [00:22] itself cannot bring down the regime. [00:24] Okay? In all your conversations you're [00:26] having with people and people saying, [00:28] "Oh, we want to attack. we want to [00:29] strike. Just remember, we do want the [00:31] regime to fall, but bombing does not [00:34] necessarily bring down the regime. [00:35] Bombing will cause a reaction by the [00:38] Iranian regime. And if in that reaction [00:42] damage is caused to American assets or [00:44] there's escalation regionally which [00:45] causes the Americans to stop short [00:49] of continuing to bomb to bring down the [00:50] regime or it or at whatever point the [00:53] Americans decide that they're done. The [00:55] regime is still standing. It could be [00:58] worse that they bombed. Okay? I'm I'm [01:00] not anti-attacking. I'm just laying out [01:03] there that we have to be very cleareyed. [01:05] Bombing does not necessarily bring down [01:06] the regime. What will bring down the [01:09] regime is the people and only the people [01:12] rising up to bring down the regime. So [01:15] the bombing can create conditions that [01:18] make it more likely that that the regime [01:20] falls. All these protests we've been [01:21] seeing for the last couple of months [01:23] which have almost brought down the [01:24] regime were only made possible because [01:26] of the weakening of the regime in the [01:28] 12-day war. Okay. So we can we can [01:32] create the conditions. That said, there [01:34] are some things happening on the ground. [01:36] It appears that the opposition, the [01:38] Iranian opposition and the people are [01:40] becoming more bold. And I want to show [01:42] you a few indications of that. One of [01:44] them is simply the fact that protests [01:46] have resumed focusing mostly on the [01:49] university campuses. Now, that is not [01:51] sufficient. It's important, and I've [01:54] heard that they're spreading, [01:56] but they're not being put down with [01:58] violence by the regime, which is which [02:00] is very smart of them. They can't really [02:02] because right now they're in [02:03] negotiations with the Americans and if [02:06] they start shooting protesters again [02:08] that that will not be good for them. So [02:11] there's a little bit of an upper hand [02:12] that the protesters have. So there are [02:14] protests going on on the campuses. They [02:16] are expanding and they are continuing. [02:18] They've been going as far as I know for [02:19] about four or five days. I did mention [02:21] this last week. You might remember that [02:23] the protests were going to resume [02:25] because we had just we were passing the [02:27] 40-day mark from the massacres that took [02:31] place [02:32] um on January uh 8th, 9th, 10th. That's [02:36] when ma that's when the main killing was [02:38] done of protesters. And the 40-day uh [02:41] the 40th day of mourning is [02:42] traditionally in in that part of the [02:44] world a day for it's almost like a [02:46] second funeral that takes place there. [02:48] So, at one of those events, we saw the [02:50] mother of uh of one of the people [02:54] killed, [02:56] and this is this is the kind of thing [02:57] that could never have happened, that [02:59] can't happen if the regime is still [03:01] strong. Look at the way she's dressed [03:03] and look at what she is saying. [03:09] Hello. [03:13] for [03:43] I don't [03:55] Okay, that that kind of bold talk again. [03:58] She had she her hair is not covered. [04:00] She's speaking out um and she's speaking [04:03] in strong tones. There's a lot of people [04:04] around. It's being filmed. This kind of [04:06] public display could never have happened [04:08] if the regime was strong. So we see that [04:11] things are actually happening again the [04:14] pro the resumption of the protest and [04:15] the CIA is getting involved also the CIA [04:18] just put out a video an instructional [04:20] video that's what I have up here on the [04:22] screen now this is an instructional [04:24] video put out in Persian in Farsy for [04:28] Iranians for how to [04:32] get online and do it in a way that [04:34] circumvents the censorship. It gives all [04:37] kinds of instructions about how to find [04:40] the right websites and the right [04:41] addresses to contact the the CIA. And [04:45] they're putting it this out there. This [04:47] is similar to a call that we saw about a [04:49] week ago, a little more than a week ago [04:50] by the Israelis giving in Farsy giving a [04:55] message putting a message out there in [04:56] social media and putting a message out [04:57] there to the Iranian people about how to [05:00] contact the Israelis to cooperate. This [05:02] is this is a similar move by the CIA. I [05:05] think the Americans are realizing that [05:08] there needs to be more work done on the [05:11] ground with the people if the regime is [05:14] going to fall, if strikes are going to [05:15] lead to the fall of the regime. Uh [05:17] because again, for all the reasons that [05:19] I stated at the beginning of this video. [05:21] So that's what this video you see on [05:23] your screen is uh again an instructional [05:26] video from the CIA uh directed at the [05:30] Persian people. Okay. Again, obviously [05:32] you see here it gives, you know, how to [05:34] how to use a VPN and how to circumvent [05:37] and how to and and what are the, you [05:41] know, what are the instructions for [05:44] making contact with the CIA. So, I think [05:46] this is this is interesting. Um, now [05:50] along these lines, I also want to play a [05:52] clip of Senator Ted Cruz [05:55] talking about Iran the other day, and he [05:58] said something about regime change here. [06:01] So, let's pay attention to what he has [06:02] to say. [06:04] >> How would you, if you were the [06:06] president, [06:08] how would you approach Iran? What what [06:10] is it? A limited um another limited [06:13] strike to try to prevent nuclear [06:15] enrichment and to say we're serious. Do [06:18] you go beyond that? Do you hope that [06:20] somehow organically it it it happens? [06:23] Because when you break it, you when you [06:25] own it and you break it, we know what [06:27] what's happened in the past. It's not. [06:28] >> So, I talked to the president last week [06:29] about this and and what I urged the [06:31] president, I said, "Listen, the regime [06:32] has never been weaker. They they are [06:34] teetering. There are real world [06:36] consequences to losing a war. The [06:38] Ayatollah lost to Israel in the 12-day [06:40] war. They they are weaker. The regime is [06:42] weaker than it ever has been." And what [06:44] I've urged the president, do not miss [06:46] this opportunity. If the Ayatollah is [06:48] removed from power, it will make America [06:51] much safer. This is the leading state [06:53] sponsor of terrorism in the world. The [06:55] Iranian regime is responsible for [06:57] murdering hundreds of American service [06:59] men and women. They fund terrorists all [07:01] over the world. And so what I've urged [07:02] the president is number one, support the [07:04] protesters and arm the protesters. Let [07:06] the people of Iran give them the ability [07:08] to overthrow their government. And [07:10] number two, I think there's a very real [07:12] possibility we will see potentially in a [07:14] matter of days limited strikes. What [07:17] we're not going to see is boots on the [07:19] ground. You're not going to see a ground [07:21] presence of American troops there. But I [07:23] think there's a real possibility of [07:25] targeted strikes that are designed to [07:28] support the Iranian people who are [07:29] protesting. Not designed to put America [07:31] in the middle of it, but designed this [07:34] regime, the Ayatollah, when he chants [07:36] death to America. I I believe him. [07:40] >> All right. Did you catch that? when he [07:42] was talking about what advice he would [07:44] give the president, here's Senator [07:46] Senator Ted Cruz saying that they should [07:49] arm and support the protesters. Arm them [07:53] and support the protesters. So, that's [07:56] already uh that that was not on my bingo [07:58] card to have a senator like Ted Cruz who [08:00] is very close to leadership and you know [08:03] to to say that that's what he's [08:05] recommending. And then we see the CIA [08:08] uh video going out to the people of [08:10] Persia urging them to make contact with [08:13] them. And also we have seen an actual [08:17] attempt on Kamaya's life. Take a look at [08:19] this. This uh this was just reported [08:23] yesterday. Iran International reports [08:25] that Iran sup Supreme Leader Ayatollah [08:27] Ali Kamayi has been moved to a special [08:30] underground shelter in Tehran amid fears [08:33] of a military strike with senior [08:36] officials being blindfolded on route to [08:38] meetings to conceal the location. The [08:40] report claims Ali Larani [08:43] was among those brought to the site [08:45] before his trip to Oman. He's the lead [08:47] negotiator on the Iranian side. It [08:49] alleges company's sons Masoud handling a [08:52] daily affairs and Moshtaba maintaining [08:55] contacts are effectively running liaison [08:58] roles and also the Iranian opposition [09:02] has said that it's ready to take control [09:04] within days. United Iranian opposition [09:06] forces claimed they could seize control [09:08] of the country from the regime within [09:11] days if provided with supportive air [09:13] cover. And what I started this uh little [09:16] segment with Kami was almost [09:18] assassinated. This is from yesterday. [09:21] Iran's IRGC claims to have foiled a [09:24] highle plot by the MEK to infiltrate the [09:27] Supreme Leader's residence and the [09:29] presidential palace. As the regime reels [09:31] from the January uprising, reports of [09:33] internal hysteria emerge following [09:35] dramatic clashes at the heart of Thran [09:37] security apparatus. There were clashes [09:39] at the palace and the MEK said this too. [09:41] The opposition also put out a a [09:44] notification saying that they that they [09:48] attacked and were trying to assassinate [09:50] him and that they lost some men and the [09:52] RGC lost some men. So here, let's take a [09:54] look what happened. The IRGC claims to [09:56] have thwarted a sophisticated [09:58] infiltration plot targeting the nation's [10:00] highest seats of power including the [10:02] residence of Supreme Leader Ali Kami and [10:04] the presidential palace. According to a [10:06] report by Al Akbar, Al Akbar is uh is a [10:10] uh uh is is an of course an Arab uh [10:14] media outlet citing informed sources the [10:17] IRGC intelligence apparatus intercepted [10:19] an operation orchestrated by the [10:21] people's mojaheden organization of Iran. [10:23] That's the that's the MEK. That's the [10:25] opposition in coordination with foreign [10:27] intelligence agencies. [10:30] Aha. The alleged plot aimed to breach [10:32] the Supreme National Security Council [10:34] headquarters and the office of the [10:35] Supreme Leader. Sources indicate the [10:37] plan was neutralized in its early stages [10:40] before implementation could begin. [10:42] Following proactive surveillance, the [10:43] IRGC reported the elimination of several [10:46] MEK operatives involved in the mission [10:48] while others were taken into custody. [10:50] According to the MEK's press release, [10:52] there were like a hundred a hundred of [10:54] their guys were lost and over a hundred [10:56] also of IRGC. So, it was a much bigger [10:58] firefight according to them. And you'd [11:00] see why they would have an interest in [11:02] making it a bigger firefight and the [11:04] IRGC would have an interest in saying uh [11:07] using numbers like it says here [11:10] um uh several right several which makes [11:16] it sound like just a few because the [11:18] IRGC wants it to seem like this isn't [11:20] such a big deal. Yeah, there was an [11:21] attempt on his life and of course it's [11:23] going to get out. They don't want to [11:24] deny it but but we tamped it down and it [11:26] wasn't very big. They don't want it to [11:28] seem like there was a major attack. [11:29] Okay. [11:31] Um they attributed the technical and [11:34] intelligence backing of the operation to [11:35] unidentified foreign intelligence [11:37] bodies. Okay. That could be the [11:39] Israelis, could be the Americans, and [11:42] it's a but it's also a claim, as it says [11:44] here, frequently used by the regime. The [11:46] PMOK, which functions politically as the [11:49] National Council of Resistance of Iran, [11:52] has been a long-standing opponent of the [11:54] Islamic Republic. While previously [11:56] designated as a terrorist organization [11:58] by the US and the EU, again, the Iranian [12:01] opposition was designated as a terrorist [12:03] organization by the US and the EU, but [12:05] the group has gained varying degrees of [12:08] Western political support for its [12:10] platform of establishing a secular [12:12] democratic Iran. The NCRI, [12:14] that's the National Council of [12:16] Resistance. The opposition is most [12:17] notably credited with the 2002 exposure [12:20] of secret nuclear facilities in Natans [12:23] and Iraq. [12:25] The this internal security breach comes [12:28] at a moment of extreme vulnerability for [12:30] the regime. Reports of hysteria within [12:33] the leadership suggest that the [12:34] perceived proximity of the threat [12:36] reaching the doorstep of the of the [12:37] supreme leader has heightened fears of [12:39] domestic collapse amid ongoing external [12:42] military pressure. So yeah, that is the [12:48] situation [12:50] on the ground there. And this is, you [12:51] know, so if you put everything that I've [12:53] said in this video together, it looks [12:55] like um, you know, the big question of [12:58] what's going to, you know, what brings [13:00] down the regime and are the are the [13:01] conditions in place. So during all of [13:03] this waiting and a lot of people are [13:04] thinking, why it's taking so long, it [13:06] seems that the opposition is getting [13:08] more bold. Okay, an assassination [13:09] attempt. We saw that funeral scene, [13:11] woman's hair uncovered and speaking out [13:13] boldly against the regime. Student [13:15] protests have resumed. We have Ted Cruz, [13:19] you know, Senator Ted Cruz, you know, [13:21] putting it out there. Hey, I think the [13:22] US should arm the arm the opposition and [13:25] support the opposition. We have the CIA [13:27] putting out its memo in Persian, the [13:29] Israelis reaching out to the Persian [13:30] people. So, it the the the stuff that [13:35] has to happen on the ground to bring [13:37] down the regime is being worked on and [13:40] we see that there are developments [13:41] there. So, that's that's the update for [13:44] today. Again, we can only hope that this [13:46] regime falls one way or the other. I I I [13:49] remain skeptical that the bombing will [13:51] actually help bring it down. It because [13:53] there's all sorts of collateral impact [13:55] that it can have. My personal opinion is [13:57] that the one thing that the US has not [13:59] yet done and could do. I understand why [14:02] they're not doing it, but that they that [14:03] they could do is to reinstate com total [14:07] sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil. [14:09] They have not done that. in the in the [14:11] first Trump term, Iran was not allowed [14:13] to sell its oil to anyone. Anyone who [14:15] bought Iranian oil, could not do any [14:17] business with the US. So only North [14:19] Korea was buying it because they don't [14:20] do business with the US anyway. And [14:23] after Biden came into office, they [14:25] lifted those sanctions and the Iranians [14:28] started selling their oil to the Chinese [14:30] in large quantities. Between 80 and 90% [14:32] of all Iranian oil exports go to the [14:34] Chinese Communist Party and the US has [14:37] not reinstated those sanctions. There's [14:40] other sanctions they've put on, but they [14:41] have not reinstated that those [14:43] sanctions. I believe that the reason [14:44] that they're doing it is that they don't [14:46] want to give China any incentive [14:49] to take action here. They don't want to [14:51] antagonize China at this moment. So, [14:53] it's a delicate it's a delicate balance [14:56] here that the I I understand why the [14:58] Americans are making that strategic [14:59] calculation. But if you want to bring [15:01] down the Iranian regime, if you cut off [15:03] all the oil sales to the Chinese and [15:06] then the Iranian regime is even weaker [15:08] and has and has no cash flow, [15:12] that could actually strangle them. [15:13] Again, I understand why the Americans [15:15] aren't doing that, but I just wanted to [15:16] put that out there. All right, that's [15:17] the update for now. Uh please make sure [15:19] to like, subscribe, share, all that [15:22] great stuff. Uh if you're finding these [15:23] these videos helpful, please let me [15:25] know. Please say so in the comments. I [15:27] appreciate it. and it uh and and you can [15:29] give me some, you know, anything you [15:31] want to say. We do I do try to read [15:33] through all the comments. And also, [15:35] please make sure to check out all the [15:37] great stuff that we're putting up at [15:38] Israel 365 News YouTube channel. There's [15:40] a lot of content from our recent uh [15:43] visit to Nashville, Tennessee to the the [15:46] uh National Religious Broadcasters [15:47] Convention that went on there. We had a [15:48] big event. So, make sure to go check out [15:51] all that and and everything else that [15:52] Israel 365 is up to. All right. God [15:55] bless.
