Transcript [00:00] Hey everybody. So, we got a a big Iran [00:03] update coming today. There's a lot going [00:05] on. This was the first day of [00:06] negotiations. [00:08] So, let's start with President Trump uh [00:11] right at the beginning of his press [00:14] gaggle on Air Force One. [00:18] >> Everybody, [00:21] >> we had very very good talks today having [00:25] to do with Russia, Ukraine. could [00:27] something could be happening. Uh we [00:30] likewise had very good talks on uh Iran. [00:34] Iran looks like it wants to make a deal [00:36] very badly. We have to see what that [00:37] deal is, but I think Iran looks like [00:39] they want to make a deal very badly as [00:42] they should. Last time they decided [00:44] maybe not to do it, but I think they [00:46] probably feel differently. We'll see [00:48] what the deal is. It'll be different [00:50] than last time. And we have a big [00:53] armada. We have a big fleet heading in [00:56] that direction. We'll be there pretty [00:58] soon. [01:00] >> Okay. So, first of all, that's classic [01:01] Trump, you know, where he, you know, in [01:04] in the same breath as he says that they, [01:06] you know, that we that uh there's going [01:08] to be a deal, he also goes ahead and [01:11] reminds uh, you know, that we want to [01:12] make a deal. We hope there's a deal, and [01:14] we have a big armada going over there. [01:16] This is classic Trump where he he does [01:18] the misdirection play where he says both [01:20] things every time he talks about the [01:22] possibility of a deal and how we want a [01:24] deal. He also reminds everyone about all [01:27] the military assets that are [01:28] accumulating there and how you know and [01:31] how how we're making it seem like we're [01:33] getting ready for a military strike. And [01:35] that's the way to keep the other side [01:37] off balance and be unpredictable, which [01:39] is a doctrine for President Trump going [01:41] all the way back to his first election [01:43] campaign where he talked about the need [01:45] to become unpredictable. I wrote about [01:47] this in my, you know, uh, in in my [01:49] latest column in the Jerusalem Post from [01:51] this past week. I wrote about President [01:53] Trump's doctrine of unpredictability. [01:55] That's that is intentional. So, it seems [01:57] to a lot of people that he's all over [01:58] the place because of the mixed messages [02:00] and people are confused. So, they think [02:01] he's erratic. He's not erratic at all. [02:03] He constantly deliberately gives these [02:05] misdirection plays. Now, later on in the [02:07] press gaggle, he was asked again about [02:09] Iran. Let's go find that. [02:10] >> No rush. We have, you know, very good [02:13] talks. It can be reached. Well, we you [02:16] have to get in position. We have plenty [02:18] of time. [02:19] >> Kushner met with Iran's foreign minister [02:21] today. You also had Brad Cooper there, [02:23] the head of Sencom. A deal doesn't look [02:25] like it's been reached yet. How long are [02:28] you willing to wait before it can be [02:29] reached? Well, we you have to get in [02:31] position. We have plenty of time. If you [02:33] remember Venezuela, we waited around for [02:35] a while and uh we're in no rush. We [02:39] have, you know, very good talks going [02:40] with Iran. We have very good talks going [02:42] with Russia and Ukraine. [02:45] We're doing a lot of good talking. And [02:47] uh I think we had the results today were [02:51] with Iran. It was a meeting. We're going [02:53] to meet again early next week. And they [02:57] want to make a deal. Iran, as they [02:58] should want to make a deal. They know [03:00] the consequences if they don't if they [03:02] don't make a deal, the consequences are [03:04] very steep. So, we'll see what happens. [03:06] But they had a very they had a very good [03:08] meeting with a very high representative [03:12] Iran of Iran and we'll see how it all [03:15] turns out. [03:16] >> Right groups see that. By the way, I'd [03:18] love to see that. If we could if we [03:20] could do that, I'd love to see it. [03:22] >> Mr. President, [03:23] >> Iran, is there is a deal that is [03:24] acceptable that's only that only covers [03:27] >> with Iran? Is there a deal that only [03:29] covers nuclear that would be acceptable [03:31] to you? Because they don't they just [03:32] want to have nuclear. They don't want to [03:34] have anything else like [03:34] >> nuclear would be acceptable. But the one [03:37] thing and right up front, no nuclear [03:39] weapons. [03:41] Uh if we could have made that deal two [03:42] years ago, we would have made that deal. [03:44] But they weren't willing to do that. Now [03:46] they are willing to do it. So they're [03:48] willing to do much more than they would [03:50] have [03:52] a year and a half ago or even a year ago [03:53] when we've Don't forget we've only been [03:55] doing this for exactly one year. [03:58] and we started with them a few months [04:00] after the beginning of this term. This [04:02] term has been amazing. Uh but but the [04:05] results could it could surprise people. [04:09] If they would have offered this deal [04:12] originally when we first started, it [04:15] would have been accepted immediately. [04:16] We'll see what happens then, [04:17] >> Mr. President. [04:19] >> Okay. So, let's unpack what we just saw [04:21] there. [04:23] Um [04:24] yeah, so a couple things that he [04:27] mentioned. First of all, uh he was asked [04:30] about Brad Cooper being over there. He [04:31] didn't say anything about that, but Brad [04:33] Cooper is the commander of Sentcom. [04:36] Okay, so he's the top military commander [04:38] in the region. Uh he's someone who who [04:42] generally uh has been pretty strong in [04:45] terms of being uh being favorable to [04:46] Israel. So from the Israelis [04:48] perspective, uh the Israelis are happy [04:50] to see Brad Cooper in those meetings [04:52] along with Jared Kushner and Steve [04:53] Witkoff. Kushner and Wickoff are kind of [04:56] seen as appeasers, some very often naive [04:58] about the about the Muslim world. Uh and [05:01] uh having having Brad Cooper there was [05:03] also an important signal to the [05:05] Iranians. Okay. So we we see this in [05:08] some of the news reports about what took [05:11] place there [05:13] that uh the Iranians interpreted Brad [05:16] Cooper's presence there as kind of like [05:19] a you know kind of like a smoking gun [05:21] I'm sorry kind of like a gun on the [05:22] table you know like a warning being [05:24] given um you know here in an unusual [05:28] step US central command commander [05:30] Admiral Brad Cooper participated in the [05:32] talks a move Iran reportedly interpreted [05:35] as a threatening signal almost flick a [05:37] gun on the table. At the same time, the [05:39] United States is preparing military [05:40] measures on the ground to demonstrate [05:42] its seriousness while continuing to [05:44] build up its war machine in the region [05:46] in case of a prolonged confrontation. [05:49] Now, Abbas Aragchi, for good measure, [05:51] the Iranian foreign minister, doubled [05:54] down and said that Iran's enriched [05:57] uranium and ballistic missiles are [05:59] non-negotiables for the Islamic Republic [06:00] and it will not and it will discuss with [06:02] the US the proposition to give up on [06:05] either, meaning it won't. The regime's [06:07] top diplomat Abasaragi said, "As for [06:10] zero enrichment, that is outside the [06:11] scope of the negotiations for us. [06:13] enrichment is an undeniable right for us [06:15] and it must continue even though bombing [06:17] us even through bombing us they could [06:19] not destroy it because technology cannot [06:21] be destroyed by bombing uh and he's [06:24] prepared to to reach an agreement that [06:25] assures them that the enrichment will be [06:27] peaceful now let me make something very [06:30] very clear okay which we have I've said [06:34] this before we got to say it again the [06:37] Iran does not have a civilian nuclear [06:42] energy program. They simply do not. [06:45] Okay? And let me explain. [06:47] Iran has vast natural gas reserves and [06:50] very cheap electricity already. So, a [06:53] costly nuclear program makes absolutely [06:56] no sense for them if it was just for [06:58] power generation. Okay? They could just [07:00] build more refineries and refine their [07:02] own oil and their own gas and and [07:05] provide energy that way. The fact that [07:07] their people barely have electricity is [07:09] not because they need nuclear energy. It [07:11] makes zero sense. Now, what's more, [07:14] they've lost about a trillion dollars as [07:17] a result of sanctions because of their [07:21] nuclear program. Okay? So, this is [07:24] completely irrational. They want to have [07:25] cheaper energy through nuclear or more [07:27] energy through nuclear, even though [07:29] their energy is pretty cheap when they [07:30] make it. And they're willing to lose [07:33] about a trillion dollars because of [07:35] sanctions in order to have the nuclear [07:37] program. it would be way cheaper to [07:39] invest a little bit more in more [07:41] refinement of their own gas. It makes [07:43] zero sense, [07:45] right? Nuclear contributes a tiny tiny [07:47] fraction of Iran's electrical grid. The [07:49] program, which means that and they could [07:51] have made a civilian nuclear program. [07:54] They've been they have nuclear power [07:56] plants anyway. They What's more, they [07:59] have these deep underground enrichment [08:00] sites. Why on earth if it's a if it's a [08:03] civilian power program would you be [08:05] building the enrichment sites deep deep [08:08] deep deep buried underground? Okay, [08:10] they're obviously not for civilian [08:12] purposes. The whole thing is ridiculous. [08:15] Okay, so this is a very important point [08:18] there. Don't ever buy the propaganda [08:21] that Iran might have peaceful intentions [08:24] for its nuclear power program. It's just [08:27] it's absolute nonsense. Okay. So, uh you [08:31] know, so this Okay, so that's where that [08:33] stands. So, Abbasari is saying, "No, no, [08:35] no, no, no. We're not going to even [08:36] touch this stuff." Speaking of ballistic [08:38] missiles, Archi said this is purely [08:40] defensive matter. It's not negotiable, [08:42] neither now nor in the future because [08:44] regional issues pertain to the region [08:45] and are not related to countries outside [08:47] of it. These are internal matters [08:49] concerning the Iranian people and no [08:52] foreign party can interfere in our [08:54] internal affairs, as we have made clear [08:56] many times. Now, I love this. You know, [08:57] as someone who lives in Israel, I love [08:59] the fact that Abbas Aragchi, the foreign [09:01] minister of of Iran, is saying that no [09:04] outside country can interfere in our [09:06] internal affairs. You've been making war [09:08] on us, on Israel for for 45 years. Okay? [09:12] Every war we fought in the north, in [09:14] Lebanon, repeatedly withah, every war we [09:17] fight with Hamas down in the Gaza Strip, [09:20] this is all funded by Iran. The Iranian [09:22] proxies, they pour billions and billions [09:24] of dollars every year into trying to [09:26] destroy the state of Israel. And you're [09:27] saying that no one has the right to [09:29] interfere in your internal affairs? How [09:31] about not interfering in Israel's [09:32] internal affairs, like killing people? [09:35] Okay, it it's look, if you are going to [09:38] attack Israel, [09:40] then Israel has every right to deal with [09:44] you. Okay? So, Israel's holding its [09:47] holding back right now. The Americans, I [09:49] said this in my previous update, the [09:50] Americans have asked the Israelis to [09:53] hold back on uh you know to hold back on [09:56] attacking Iran while these negotiations [09:58] go on. But uh [10:02] but you know uh but just just this [10:04] statement kind of triggered me like [10:06] you're the Iranians saying that no one [10:08] can interfere in their internal affairs. [10:10] All they do is interfere in the internal [10:11] affairs of everybody else most notably [10:15] of course America. Now, at the end of [10:18] this statement, Abasari said the [10:20] following. The possibility of war is [10:22] always present, and we're prepared for [10:24] it. This preparedness is aimed at [10:25] finding solutions to avoid war. I told [10:27] the American negotiators yesterday, you [10:29] have two options with us: war and [10:31] diplomacy. Our option is diplomacy, but [10:33] we are even more prepared for both than [10:35] before, and we hope America will choose [10:37] diplomacy. If America launches an attack [10:40] against us, we do not have the [10:42] capability to attack its territory. So, [10:44] we will attack the American bases in the [10:46] region. Look, he said it right out. We [10:48] will attack the American bases in the [10:50] region. And then he makes this [10:51] statement. This will draw the entire [10:53] region into war. Now, let me make this [10:55] very clear. I'm here going to make a [10:57] bold prediction. [10:59] There will not be a regional war if [11:02] America attacks Iran. Let me explain [11:04] why. Let me explain why. [11:07] In the 12-day war in June, nobody helped [11:10] Iran. Nobody. Not even countries that [11:13] Iran had signed defense treaties with. [11:16] Nobody lifted a finger. Not the Chinese, [11:19] not the Russians, no Arab or Muslim [11:21] country. Nobody lifted a finger to help [11:23] the Iranians. In fact, even their own [11:26] proxies did did nothing. The Houthis, I [11:29] in Yemen, I think, launched three [11:31] missiles that didn't cause much damage. [11:33] And Iraqi launched a few drones. They [11:35] basic symbolic. They did nothing. No one [11:37] lifted a finger. There is no possibility [11:41] in my mind when I think about all the [11:43] different countries in the region of any [11:44] sovereign nation in this region, no [11:46] matter how much they hate Israel or hate [11:48] America, there's no one who's going to [11:50] come to the aid of the Iranians and [11:52] fight the US [11:54] and drag them and open themselves up to [11:57] the US flattening them. There will not [11:59] be a regional war. You're going to hear [12:01] a lot of this from the from the side [12:03] even in America. Even on our side, those [12:05] people who don't want there to be an [12:06] attack, the people, let's say the [12:07] isolationists, for example, on the [12:09] right, the more isolationist types, [12:12] you're going to hear them talking about [12:13] how this is going to escalate into a [12:14] regional war. I I'm telling you, this [12:16] will not escalate into a regional war. [12:19] There is I I put the chances of it at [12:22] zero. Now, how did Israel respond to all [12:25] of this? So the fact that President [12:27] Trump said that he might be willing to [12:30] accept a deal that only deals that only [12:32] deals with the nuclear is very worrisome [12:34] to the Israelis. So Prime Minister [12:35] Netanyahu is heading to Washington [12:37] again. Netanyahu Trump meeting moved [12:38] forward to Wednesday amid fear. Trump [12:41] backing off red lines. Okay. So there's [12:44] a real worry on the Israeli side that [12:47] the Americans are backing off the red [12:48] lines that they're back meaning that [12:50] they're backing off the red lines on the [12:51] ballistic missiles on the proxies and of [12:54] course on the treatment of their own [12:55] people. But for from Israel's security [12:57] perspective, the ballistic missiles are [12:59] a huge existential danger to Israel. [13:02] Okay? And the proxies have been [13:03] attacking us for decades. It's not just [13:05] about the nuclear. People misunderstood [13:07] the 12-day war. Israel was not attacking [13:08] Iran to get rid of the nuclear. Israel [13:10] was attacking Iran because Iran is an [13:13] enemy. Okay. Uh so now despite the fact [13:18] that President Trump said that he'd [13:19] accept a deal only on the nuclear at the [13:22] meeting it says here the at the meeting [13:24] the appar the Americans presented their [13:26] red lines halting uranium enrichment [13:29] removing enriched uranium limiting [13:31] ballistic missiles in both quantity and [13:33] range and ending funding for proxy [13:36] forces. Iranian representatives rejected [13:38] all of the demands and continued to [13:40] insist on maintaining their right to [13:42] enrich uranium. The talks focused [13:44] largely on conditions for negotiations [13:47] and here too no real breakthrough was [13:49] achieved. Okay, Admiral Brad Cooper was [13:52] there. I mentioned that um and uh [13:59] here look at this. Israel believes the [14:01] Americans are not naive and will not [14:03] allow Iran to stall. At the same time, [14:05] there are concerns in Jerusalem that [14:06] President Trump ultimately wants a deal [14:08] and may compromise on at least some [14:10] demands. Quote, "Israel will not give up [14:12] its principles and hopes the Americans [14:14] will stand firm on the basic conditions [14:17] for a good agreement." An Israeli [14:20] official said, "Okay, so the [14:23] coordination between Israel and the US [14:25] continues and uh and uh and and and [14:31] Netanyahu is going to Washington to talk [14:33] to Trump. [14:34] But at the same time, look what Trump [14:35] is. Trump is a master of leverage. This [14:38] is right before the negotiations, [14:41] the day before. What is what does Trump [14:44] do? He signs an executive order calling [14:47] for tariffs. [14:49] He on any country that trades with Iran. [14:54] This order issued on Friday does not [14:56] specify the rate that can be imposed, [14:57] but uses 25% as an example. It says the [15:00] tariff could apply to goods imported [15:02] into the US from any nation that [15:04] directly or indirectly purchases, [15:06] imports, or otherwise acquires any goods [15:08] or services from Iran. So here he is [15:11] sanctioning any country that does [15:14] business with Iran on the day the [15:16] negotiations are beginning just to [15:18] tighten the screws a little more on the [15:20] Iranians. Donald Trump is a master of [15:23] using leverage. So heading right into [15:26] the negotiations, just to signal that [15:28] not only are we not backing off, but [15:29] we're going to make life even more [15:30] difficult for you if you don't give in, [15:32] he puts a new batch of sanctions uh uh [15:37] on on Iran through punishing countries [15:40] that do business with it. So that's [15:42] where things stand. Um again, so what [15:45] we're looking ahead to is further rounds [15:47] of negotiations. The Israelis are going [15:50] to look out for Israel's security [15:51] interests. Let's make it very clear. If [15:53] the if the Americans decide that this is [15:54] all about the nuclear and walk away, [15:56] Israel is still going to deal with the [15:57] ballistic missiles at some point. Okay? [15:58] Israel is not going to allow Iran to [16:01] continue to threaten it and and frankly [16:05] Israel has every interest in bringing [16:06] down the Iranian regime that has been [16:08] attacking it for a long time. So as much [16:10] as America, a lot of Americans are like, [16:11] "Oh, we don't want a regime change war [16:13] from an Israeli perspective, hey, these [16:16] guys have been attacking us. We have we [16:17] have nothing to apologize for for [16:19] wanting to take down this regime." All [16:20] right, that's the update for today, [16:22] folks. There'll there'll be more to [16:23] come. Uh this is obviously a very fluid [16:25] situation and uh you know please keep [16:27] watching and um and uh and and please uh [16:32] you know keep spreading the word about [16:33] the channel and of course as always go [16:35] check out everything we're doing at [16:36] Israel 365's YouTube channel. God bless.
