Transcript [00:00] Hey everybody. Um, I'm on the road. I'm [00:02] in a hotel room now. I'm in the States [00:04] and uh, so I'm going to be making videos [00:05] over the next few days or so from [00:08] various locations wherever I happen to [00:10] be. This is the Iran update for Sunday, [00:13] February 15th. There might be a second [00:14] Iran update coming later today. We'll [00:16] see what uh, what develops, but I want [00:18] to cover a few a few items related to [00:20] the Iran situation that might have flown [00:23] under the radar, but first some big [00:25] headlines about uh, about Iran. And what [00:29] I'm talking specifically about is what [00:30] President Trump had to say on Friday [00:32] about regime change. Have a look at [00:34] this. [00:36] >> What What can I do to avoid an attack? [00:40] >> Give us a deal that they should have [00:41] given us the first time. If they give us [00:43] the right deal, we won't do that. But [00:46] you know, historically they haven't done [00:47] that. They I will say they want to talk, [00:51] but so far they do a lot of talking and [00:53] no action. [00:54] >> When are those talks, Mr. President? [00:55] What are those? [00:56] >> They've already started. do this [00:57] interchange in Iran. [00:59] >> Well, it's seems like that would be the [01:01] best thing that could happen. For 47 [01:04] years, they've been talking and talking [01:05] and talking. In the meantime, we've lost [01:08] a lot of lives while they talk and legs [01:10] blown off, arms blown off, faces blown [01:13] off. It's been going on for a long time. [01:16] So, let's see what happens. In the [01:18] meantime, we have meantime, we have [01:20] tremendous power has arrived and [01:23] additional power as you know and other [01:24] carriers going out shortly. So, we'll [01:27] see it out. If we could get it settled [01:30] for once and for all, that'll be good. [01:33] >> All right, that is a bombshell, folks. I [01:36] mean, when we're saying that President [01:38] Trump here's President Trump saying that [01:40] regime change would be the best thing [01:42] that could happen and then he starts [01:44] talking about atrocities committed by [01:46] them that this has got to stop but and [01:49] then he reminds us of course of all the [01:51] military assets that are there. So when [01:53] we've been talking a lot about the mixed [01:54] messages, oh we want negotiations but [01:57] we're also threatening. this was much [01:59] more threatening than we've heard. And [02:02] again, an explicit reference to regime [02:05] change being a good thing. That is [02:07] absolutely huge. And uh you know, just [02:10] to follow that up, let's take a look at [02:11] what at what Secretary of State Rubio [02:14] had to say on the Iran issue as well. [02:16] >> I'm not going to talk about attacks on [02:17] Iran or anything of that nature because [02:19] the president's made clear he prefers [02:20] diplomacy and an outcome of negotiated [02:22] settlement. Now, we're dealing with [02:24] radical Shia clerics, okay? We're [02:26] dealing with people who make political [02:28] geopolitical decisions on the basis of [02:30] pure theology. And it's a complicated [02:32] thing. I mean, no one's ever been able [02:34] to do a successful deal with Iran, but [02:35] we're going to try. Uh Steve Woodco and [02:38] Jared Kushner will be traveling. I think [02:40] they're traveling right now uh to have [02:42] important meetings and we'll see how [02:43] that turns out. And we'll always comply [02:45] with the applicable laws of the United [02:47] States in terms of involving Congress in [02:49] any decisions. But right now, we're not [02:50] talking about any of that. Uh we are we [02:52] are postured in the region for one [02:53] simple reason and that is that uh we [02:55] understand that there could be threats [02:57] to our forces in the region. We've seen [02:59] them uh be threatened in the past and we [03:01] want to make sure that we have [03:02] sufficient capacity to defend him if god [03:04] forbid that were to happen. But right [03:06] now we're talking about negotiations. We [03:08] are focused on negotiations. That's what [03:09] we're f the president's made clear. If [03:11] that changes it'll be obvious to [03:13] everyone and obviously whatever the law [03:15] requires us to do we'll do. [03:18] >> Okay. So again, that, you know, a couple [03:22] notable points that Secretary of State [03:24] Rubio had to say there. Number one, no [03:26] one's ever done a successful deal with [03:28] Iran, but we're going to try. And he [03:30] mentions that they make uh decisions [03:32] based on theology. Let's put those two [03:34] things together. Part of Islamic [03:37] theology, part of Islamic uh public [03:39] policy as it were, and this is in the [03:40] Quran, is the doctrine of takia, which [03:43] is deception. that you are supposed to [03:45] not allowed to. You're supposed to use [03:47] deception with your enemies and it's [03:50] perfectly fine to use deception with [03:52] your enemies. And that's why there's [03:53] never been a successful deal with any [03:55] Islamic theocracy. You can't have one. [03:59] There there's it's not like, oh, maybe [04:01] they'll keep their word. The idea like [04:03] the concept of signing pieces of paper [04:05] and shaking hands and making agreements [04:06] and therefore you're bound by them by [04:08] your word. These are western constructs. [04:11] They have nothing to do with the Islamic [04:15] mindset. Okay? You cannot have a [04:17] successful deal. And notice what he said [04:19] in the very closing words of that clip. [04:22] And whatever the law requires us to do, [04:24] we'll do. What's he referring to? He's [04:26] referring to the War Powers Act. He's [04:28] referring to the fact that we might be [04:29] going to war. And yeah, we're we're [04:31] willing to go ahead and and do what the [04:34] law requires us to do uh for that. So, [04:38] uh, both this clip and the clip from [04:39] President Trump really are are pushing, [04:42] even though they both mention [04:43] negotiations, they're pushing in the [04:45] direction of not having negotiations and [04:48] really going to kinetic conflict. And on [04:51] the Israel 365 uh news channel, I made a [04:53] video the other day about Iran's about [04:56] Iran's strategy and about how they might [04:59] actually want the kinetic conflict [05:00] because they believe I think that they [05:03] believe that President Trump doesn't [05:05] want a prolonged conflict and is so [05:07] opposed and is so afraid of a prolonged [05:09] conflict that if they can even if they [05:13] get into a kinetic conflict and suffer a [05:15] lot of beatings, as long as it doesn't [05:16] actually bring down the regime, and it's [05:19] possible that it won't, won't let's [05:21] let's understand you can't bomb a regime [05:22] out of existence. Okay? You need the [05:24] people there to bring them down. You can [05:26] weaken them. You can set the conditions [05:28] that make it easier to bring down the [05:29] regime, but you can't actually bring [05:31] down the regime necessarily. And I think [05:33] that they are hoping for a kinetic [05:34] conflict. They're going to fire [05:35] ballistic missiles at American assets. [05:37] They're going to hope to kill a few [05:38] Americans, and they don't need to kill [05:41] that many, for the pressure on Trump to [05:44] ramp up in the US to end the operation [05:47] and pull out, especially from the more [05:49] isolationist wing. And that is going to [05:52] lead and that could lead to the Iranian [05:55] regime surviving. And all they need to [05:57] do is survive and wait it out until [05:59] until the Trump administration is out of [06:01] office and then all bets are off. I [06:03] think that that is their strategy that [06:05] they consider that a better option than [06:07] capitulating to the Trump [06:09] administration's demands which means [06:10] that the only real solution to this [06:12] whole thing is actually regime change. [06:15] But there's going to be a lot of [06:16] opposition from both from the Muslim [06:18] world and uh and from uh and from other [06:22] voices uh especially voices in America [06:25] that are are are traumatized by bad [06:27] regime change situations in countries [06:29] like Iraq and Libya that are going to be [06:32] afraid that that's that's the same thing [06:33] here. And we've talked about this that [06:35] it's a misunderstanding of Iran and how [06:37] it's different from those other Muslim [06:38] countries. But also in the news related [06:41] to Iran, we have let's check in on the [06:44] on the Europeans who have never been uh [06:46] such uh they've never been so reliable. [06:49] But here, take a look. This is an [06:50] encouraging sign. The European [06:51] Parliament adopt an Iran rights [06:53] resolution [06:55] 524-3 [06:58] backing tougher EU action. The European [07:00] Parliament has adopted a resolution [07:02] condemning systemic oppression, inhumane [07:04] conditions, and arbitrary detentions, [07:07] [clears throat] excuse me, by the [07:08] clerical regime in Iran, approving the [07:10] text by 524 votes in favor, three [07:13] against, and 41 abstensions. [07:16] MEPs call for an end to violence against [07:18] civilians, an end to executions and [07:20] repression, and the release of those [07:21] held in arbitrary detention. [07:24] Um, [07:26] and the the text also urges an immediate [07:28] abolition of the death penalty. Now, [07:30] obviously calling on Iran to do things. [07:31] It's it's kind of performative, but look [07:33] what it says down here. The adopted text [07:35] places particular emphasis particular [07:38] emphasis on the Islamic Revolutionary [07:40] Guard Corps, describing it as central to [07:42] repression and urging expanded targeted [07:45] sanctions, including asset freezes, [07:48] travel and travel bans against those [07:50] responsible for abuses. Now, they didn't [07:53] put sanctions on, so it's kind of weak, [07:57] but at least the Europeans are moving in [07:59] the right direction, and they're and [08:01] they're urging more sanctions. They're [08:03] threatening the IRGC. [08:06] Um, but here's how absurd this is. While [08:09] the European Union is voting this way, [08:12] look what happened in the UN the other [08:13] day. The United Nations [08:17] a named Iran the vice chair of the UN [08:21] body promoting democracy and women's [08:24] rights. I kid you not. This is like [08:25] Saturday Night Live comedy sketch. Okay, [08:28] this is the committee the commission for [08:31] social development to the United [08:32] Nations. Look at this. Iran's election [08:34] as vice chair of the United Nations [08:36] Commission for Social Development is [08:38] being slammed by human rights advocates [08:40] and policy analysts who've condemned the [08:42] UN's hypocrisy when it comes to its [08:45] treatment of undemocratic regimes. Okay, [08:47] this is a commission that is supposed to [08:49] be responsible for things like human [08:52] rights, women's rights. It's insane. the [08:56] UN Commission for Social Development. [08:58] It's a UN body tasked with promoting [09:00] democracy, gender equality, tolerance, [09:03] and nonviolence. Okay, that's what this [09:06] commission is supposed to do. And the [09:08] Iranians, Iran was named, the Iranian [09:11] representative was named the vice chair [09:13] of this UN body. With everything else [09:14] going on in Iran, days after they've [09:16] been slaughtering their own people, they [09:19] get named. So there's I mean this is if [09:21] you if you needed more evidence that the [09:24] United Nations is a completely bankrupt [09:27] and irrelevant institution, this is it. [09:30] Um and also on a positive note here we [09:33] have there was this made the news a [09:35] little bit. This Italian member of the [09:36] European Parliament, Isabella [09:38] Tovaglieri, tore up a picture of Iran [09:41] Supreme Leader. So she's in the European [09:43] Parliament. Um [snorts] that's the same [09:45] parliament that voted for the uh for the [09:47] resolution that we just talked about [09:49] that uh uh threatening Iran with [09:51] sanctions. [09:53] She tore up a picture of Ali Kam in the [09:55] European Parliament on Wednesday as she [09:57] accused left-wing parties of a [09:59] scandalous double double standard over [10:02] Tehran. Let's go take a look at the clip [10:03] of this. It's kind of cool. Here you go. [10:10] Right. [10:17] So, she's calling out the pro Gaza [10:19] movement for for not protesting on [10:21] behalf for not speaking up on behalf of [10:23] the Iranian people. [10:56] There we go. So, yeah, she's calling [10:58] them out and and the clip goes on a [10:59] little bit longer. She's calling them [11:01] out for the double standard, [11:02] specifically referencing the fact that [11:04] they're all out there defending Gaza, [11:06] defending Hamas, but they're not but [11:08] they're not defending the Iranian people [11:10] who are fighting for their freedom. Now, [11:12] I found this worthy of mentioning this [11:14] incident of her tearing up this picture [11:17] because and this is a topic I've raised [11:19] before and it's so important I want to [11:20] keep hammering it home. This this MP, [11:23] this member of the European Parliament, [11:26] Isabella Tovaglieri, is from the Lega [11:28] party. That's Salvini's party in Italy. [11:31] They are populist nationalist right-wing [11:34] conservatives. [11:36] And I I keep pointing this out. We have [11:38] to get our heads straight, [11:41] especially to the Jews in this audience [11:42] here. Listen up. Historically, populist [11:46] nationalist right-wingers when when you [11:48] go back a couple generations, they were [11:50] people that Jews didn't want to [11:52] associate with. And there were often [11:53] some anti-semitic elements in there. [11:55] Things have shifted. Things have [11:56] changed. We can't romanticize these [11:58] political relationships. We have to look [12:00] at who our friends are at all over the [12:02] world. Whether it's the Orban supporters [12:04] in Hungary, the Vox supporters in Spain, [12:06] the Balssonso supporters in Brazil, the [12:09] Vilder supporters in the Netherlands, [12:11] the you know all over the world, [12:14] populist nationalist right-wing people, [12:16] conservatives, political conservatives [12:18] are the pro-Israel camp. And this is [12:21] just another example of it. Now, on the [12:23] Israel side, this was an interesting [12:24] story that caught my eye from from uh [12:26] just a couple days ago. The IDF [12:28] spokesman in Persian. [12:32] Yes, the IDF has a spokesman who puts [12:34] out messaging in Persian and the Iranian [12:37] people follow this very closely. They [12:39] urged Iranians to communicate through [12:41] official Israeli channels. Listen to [12:43] this this post on X that was put up. I [12:45] saw a story about it. It said, "We [12:46] kindly request patriotic Iranian people [12:50] to please only follow our official [12:52] channels of contact and get in touch [12:55] with us for any kind of cooperation. [12:59] They're inviting Iranians to get in [13:02] touch with with with the IDF, with the [13:04] Israelis to cooperate. The pages and [13:07] links included in this post are the only [13:09] official and legitimate accounts." And [13:10] then they put links in there for Iranian [13:13] people to get in touch with the Israelis [13:15] for cooperation. [13:17] And you know, so this is the Israelis [13:20] actually recruiting activists in Iran [13:23] for some kind of cooperation. And this [13:26] could mean that there's going to be some [13:28] assistance on the ground, quiet [13:30] assistance on the ground, behind the [13:32] scenes assistance on the ground by the [13:33] Israelis to the Iranian people should [13:35] things uh escalate in Iran. and and they [13:39] will escalate later this week. There [13:40] should uh we're expecting there's an [13:43] expectation later this week of [13:45] significant protests erupting again in [13:47] Iran. It has to do with the fact that [13:49] the main massacres of civilians in Iran [13:52] that took place by the regime took place [13:54] on January uh 8th and 9th around then [13:57] and we're getting to the 40-day point [14:00] in a couple days. The 17th and 18th of [14:03] February are going to be the the 40-day [14:05] point. And in in uh in Islamic cultures [14:08] and in a lot of Middle Eastern cultures, [14:09] 40 days after death, that's the the end [14:12] of the period of mourning and it's often [14:14] been a time where things have flared up [14:16] again, people express uh when it comes [14:19] to political deaths where there's [14:21] there's some response. For example, when [14:22] Masamini, that girl who was killed for [14:25] not wearing a hijab, she was arrested [14:27] for not wearing a hijab back in 2022 and [14:29] then she was killed in custody and that [14:31] led to mass demonstrations but you know [14:34] the big Masa Amini demonstrations in [14:36] 2022. 40 days after she was killed there [14:39] was a flare up of these mass [14:40] demonstrations and in fact there's been [14:42] a call for mass demonstrations for the [14:44] 17th and 18th of February and you know [14:46] and that's coming in a couple of days. [14:48] So, with everything else going on, we're [14:50] going to see a challenge to the regime [14:52] with people taking to the streets again. [14:54] Perhaps we'll see how they respond to [14:56] that in the midst of everything else. [14:58] Okay, that's our Iran update for the for [15:00] today. Please make sure to like, [15:02] subscribe, share, tell everyone about [15:04] what we're doing on this channel. If you [15:05] find it helpful, drop a comment. Let me [15:08] know what you think. And please check [15:11] out all the content that we're putting [15:12] up at Israel 365 News YouTube channel, [15:15] especially the video I just made the [15:17] other day about Iran's strategy. I go [15:20] into a lot of detail there about what uh [15:22] how they're playing this chess game [15:24] right now. All right. God bless.
