Transcript [00:00] because it takes some time for the US. [00:03] The worst scenario we can have is the [00:05] Iranians doing a preemptive attack on [00:07] Israel and on the US maybe before we [00:10] attack and and this is something we have [00:11] to be very aware of. Our intelligence [00:14] needs to really borrow what's going on [00:16] and Israel might might find itself in in [00:20] a situation that it needs to attack even [00:22] before the US is ready. This is [00:24] something that might happen. So the the [00:26] level of readiness in the Israeli [00:28] intelligence and air force is very very [00:30] very high. [00:31] >> Hey everyone, Amamir Avivi, Brigadier [00:33] General Amamir Avivi is one of the top [00:36] security and defense experts in Israel. [00:38] Not only was he a brigadier general in [00:39] the Israeli army, he is the founder of [00:42] the Israel Defense and Security Forum. [00:44] He's also very plugged into the security [00:47] establishment and to the IDF leadership [00:49] and to Prime Minister Netanyahu's [00:51] office. He serves as a kind of [00:53] unofficial adviser. So when he talks [00:55] about what to expect in the coming days [00:57] and what might happen in Iran, we should [01:00] pay very close attention because it [01:02] probably reflects what's actually being [01:05] talked about behind the scenes at the [01:07] highest levels in Israel. So let's give [01:09] a listen to Brigadier General Amir Vivi. [01:12] Since you last uh shared with us, a lot [01:16] has happened in terms of Iran and the US [01:20] involvement with Iran and everyone [01:21] really wants the inside scoop behind the [01:24] scenes. What exactly transpired? Did the [01:27] US do an about face? Did Israel redirect [01:31] what should happen? What what can you [01:32] share with us? [01:35] So I think that following the [01:38] announcements of President Trump [01:41] the expectation of many people was okay [01:43] tomorrow morning two days you know we'll [01:45] have an attack [01:48] and when when it didn't happen people [01:50] started thinking you know maybe the US [01:52] is reconsidering maybe there is a change [01:56] of heart and mind you know um but the [02:00] reality I think is that from decision to [02:04] action. The US, it takes time for the US [02:07] to really bring all the capabilities, [02:11] finalize the planning, do the [02:13] coordination not only with Israel, also [02:17] with other countries. And I think this [02:19] is what we are seeing. I'm seeing inside [02:21] Israel [02:23] clear signs of [02:26] big preparations [02:29] and I see the US amassing forces and [02:32] also Europe [02:34] bringing capabilities and amassing [02:37] forces in the in the Middle East. H we [02:41] see the last few days President Trump's [02:44] restoics again more aggressive again [02:47] saying that there needs to be a change [02:48] of regime [02:50] and so there is a buildup and it takes a [02:53] bit of time [02:55] you know [02:58] the US in the second world war decided [03:01] in December 1941 it's joining the war [03:04] following the Japanese attack on Pearl [03:08] Harbor the minute they The minute the US [03:11] decided it's joining the war and then [03:17] when did the press soldiers start [03:19] fighting on North African land? It took [03:22] 11 months. It took 11 months to the US [03:25] to to organize and start fighting, you [03:29] know, in Europe and in Africa. Yes, they [03:32] fought the the Japanese faster than [03:34] that. But but for for the US, it takes [03:37] time to organize. It's not going to be [03:39] 11 months. This is going to be probably [03:41] much much more faster the coming weeks [03:44] probably. But uh there is a buildup and [03:46] uh we have to be aware of that. In this [03:50] way, there's also a lot of preparations. [03:54] Looking at our air defense, looking at [03:56] other capabilities we need to uh [03:59] prepare. [04:01] And I'm all the time worried about one [04:04] thing because it takes some time for the [04:06] US. The worst scenario we can have is [04:10] the Iranians doing a preemptive attack [04:13] on Israel and on the US. Maybe before [04:17] we attack. And this is something we have [04:19] to be [04:21] very aware of and our intelligence needs [04:25] to really borrow what's going on and [04:29] Israel might might find itself in in a [04:32] situation that it needs to attack even [04:34] before the US is ready. This is [04:36] something that might happen. So the the [04:38] level of readiness in the Israeli [04:41] intelligence and air force is very very [04:43] very high following anything that might [04:47] happen [04:49] you know with the Iranians and in Iran [04:52] the demonstrations are continuing. It's [04:54] very hard to know exactly what is [04:57] happening because you know they shut [05:00] down the internet completely. [05:03] So everything that we has we are getting [05:06] from Iran is partial and it's not the [05:08] full picture but it's all obvious that [05:11] the regime is conducting a massacre [05:14] against the demonstrators as thousands [05:16] and thousands of people have been killed [05:19] and arrested there are executions. It's [05:21] not something the world can allow to [05:24] continue and we have to really seize the [05:28] moment. It's it's a one opportunity in [05:31] history to bring down this regime. And [05:33] when this regime will fall, everything [05:36] will change. It's not only the Iranian [05:37] regime that will change and probably [05:40] we'll have peace with Israel, but it's [05:42] the fall of the all the proxies. Gizbala [05:45] is completely dependent on on Iranian [05:47] money. Hamas the same. They they get the [05:49] money from Iran. So this is going to [05:52] accelerate dramatically also the fall of [05:55] all the proxies of Iran. it will change [05:57] completely the Middle East. So [06:01] definitely something that needs to be [06:03] pushed and I think there is a clear [06:05] understanding in Israel and the US that [06:06] this is what needs to to be done [06:09] preparations but I believe it won't be [06:12] too long. There will be a moment when uh [06:15] when the attack will be launched and and [06:17] let's look at the worst case scenario if [06:21] the US god forbid backs down and and [06:24] decided it doesn't help. Okay, Israel is [06:27] not going to miss the opportunity. [06:30] Israel will will attack. Why? Because we [06:34] need to destroy all this sites anyway. [06:36] It's a big danger to us. We cannot we [06:39] cannot wait. [06:42] And I don't think that President Trump [06:46] was wants to be viewed as somebody who [06:48] promised, you know, the Iranian people [06:50] that help is on its way is going to help [06:52] and then back down and Israel will [06:54] become the heroes that save the Iran and [06:57] not the US. For me, it doesn't make [06:59] sense that something would like that [07:01] would, you know, would happen. [07:04] And I think that I'm sure Prime Minister [07:07] Netanyahu has said to President Trump [07:10] crystal clear, is Israel is going to [07:12] attack anyway. I mean we cannot uh allow [07:15] this uh renewal of buildup of we cannot [07:18] allow to miss the opportunity uh to [07:21] bring down bring down the regime and and [07:24] we know how accurately Israel knows how [07:26] to operate and how it can take out [07:32] leaders or we saw it with the Sarala we [07:35] saw it with Sinoa we saw it you know all [07:37] around the the world the Houthi [07:40] government [07:42] it's Definitely Israel can do it, but I [07:45] think it needs to be a USled attack and [07:48] I think the president understands that [07:50] very well. [07:51] >> Wow. Okay. And now I cannot stress [07:53] enough, Brigadier General Amir Avivi is [07:57] one of the most well-connected security [08:00] experts in Israel. When he says that he [08:03] sees, to quote him here, big [08:05] preparations happening in Israel and [08:08] what he believes Israel is preparing for [08:11] and what Israel wants to accomplish in [08:13] this chaos and unrest and this [08:15] opportunity to take down the Iranian [08:17] regime, we need to listen very [08:19] carefully. Let's just sum up what we [08:20] heard there. First of all, he says that [08:22] the absence of an immediate strike by [08:25] the Americans doesn't mean that America [08:27] has changed its mind. He he stressed [08:30] that that the you know the US decision [08:33] to act moves much more deliberately and [08:35] slowly than what we're used to in [08:37] Israel. The IDF tends to make decisions [08:39] very quickly. He also says that there [08:42] are visible concrete signs of military [08:45] buildup. talks about these amassing [08:47] forces of the US and the Middle East and [08:49] that European capabilities are also [08:50] being moved into place and of course the [08:52] heightened Israeli preparations that he [08:55] talks about that he sees that these are [08:56] all clear indicators that there's [08:58] something going on. Now, he also pointed [09:01] out that President Trump's rhetoric has [09:03] intensified, that that he's that his [09:06] recent statements are calling for regime [09:08] change, and these are indications that [09:10] the US is still engaged and doesn't [09:13] expect the situation to just peter out. [09:16] He also says that the expected timeline, [09:18] and here we we need to listen carefully [09:20] and remember who's who's saying this, [09:22] the expected timeline is weeks, not [09:26] months. He explicitly rejected the idea [09:29] that there will be long delays before [09:30] action is taken. He also, of course, [09:33] talks about how Israel is at maximum [09:35] readiness and may have to act first if [09:38] necessary because the fear of a [09:40] preemptive strike by the Iranian regime [09:43] is significant. And again, Israel might [09:46] attack first if circumstances demand it. [09:49] And of course, he stresses the fact that [09:51] this a this is a historic opportunity. [09:54] the this Iranian regime has been [09:57] murdering Israelis and investing [09:59] billions of dollars in in the in the [10:02] plans to destroy Israel and murder [10:04] Israelis for decades and decades. Pretty [10:07] much every war that Israel's been [10:10] involved in since the beginning of the [10:12] 1980s until today. Every time there's [10:15] been a flare up from the first Lebanon [10:17] war to the second Lebanon war to [10:18] everything that's happened in the Gaza [10:20] Strip over the course of the last few [10:21] decades, conflict after conflict, this [10:24] is all a war with Iran. And he stresses [10:26] the fact that we now have an [10:28] opportunity. We a unique opportunity. We [10:31] haven't had such an opportunity to bring [10:33] down the regime and Israel is not going [10:35] to allow this opportunity to pass by. So [10:38] if the Americans decide to back off, if [10:41] that would happen, Israel will act [10:43] unilaterally. And again, when Brigadier [10:45] General Amir Avivi says that, you can [10:48] trust that this is a real plan. And [10:50] bottom line, General Aviv's message is [10:53] that it is not a question of if, but [10:56] when there will be an attack on the [10:57] regime, a decisive attack. And that the [11:00] military preparations, the political [11:02] signals, and everything else going on [11:05] gives us indications of something [11:08] happening in the near term. And he's and [11:11] he also said with confidence that he's [11:14] pretty sure Prime Minister Netanyahu has [11:16] made this clear to President Trump. So [11:18] folks, as I've been saying for days now, [11:20] this situation, even though it looks [11:22] like the protests are petering out, this [11:24] is far from over. And we still can be [11:26] hopeful. We still can be hopeful that [11:28] there will be crippling attacks on the [11:31] regime to bring it finally to its knees [11:34] once and for all. If you've been [11:35] enjoying these videos, please make sure [11:36] to check out all of my other content at [11:39] Israel 365's YouTube
