Transcript [00:00] Okay, are there going to be [00:01] negotiations? Are there not going to be [00:03] negotiations? Is Iran going to [00:05] surrender? What exactly is going on? So, [00:09] what we're going to do in this video is [00:11] we're first going to play a clip of a [00:13] report from today, from a few hours ago [00:15] from Fox News on the state of affairs, [00:18] and then we will talk about how the [00:21] Iranian regime media is talking about [00:25] this situation, and we're going to make [00:27] sense of all of it, and you will come [00:28] away understanding where we are in this [00:32] current situation. All right, let's get [00:35] right to it. Here is the Fox News report [00:38] from earlier today. [00:42] So, US officials are planning to hit the [00:44] Pakistan for a new round of peace talk, [00:47] but Iran is reportedly refusing to come [00:49] to the table. Yeah, this comes as Tehran [00:52] vows retaliation after the US seized one [00:54] of their ships on the Strait of Hormuz. [00:56] >> Chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst [00:58] joins us from Tel Aviv with the latest, [00:59] Trey. [01:01] Yeah, hey guys, good morning. Overnight, [01:03] CENTCOM announced that US forces seized [01:05] an Iranian-flagged cargo ship that was [01:08] attempting to breach the naval blockade. [01:10] President Trump announced the seizure on [01:12] Truth Social, saying the Iranian crew [01:14] refused to listen, so our navy ship [01:17] stopped them right in their tracks by [01:18] blowing a hole in the engine room. Right [01:20] now, US Marines have custody of the [01:22] vessel. The ship remains in US custody. [01:25] Here's what it sounded like when the [01:26] guided missile destroyer USS Spruance [01:28] warned the cargo ship before firing. [01:31] Motor vessel Tosca, motor vessel Tosca, [01:34] vacate your engine room. Vacate your [01:37] engine room. We're prepared to subject [01:39] you to disabling fire. [01:47] At least two dozen other vessels were [01:49] turned around over the weekend complying [01:51] with US orders. The incident came 24 [01:53] hours after Iran's IRGC fired on two [01:55] vessels trying to pass through the [01:57] Strait of Hormuz in violation of the [01:58] ceasefire. Now, the question remains if [02:00] a broader agreement will be reached this [02:02] week. The ceasefire is set to expire in [02:04] less than 48 hours. I spoke with [02:06] President Trump over the weekend who [02:08] told me, "If the deal isn't done, the [02:10] deal that we made, then I'm going to [02:11] take out their bridges and their power [02:13] plants." He went on to say, "If they [02:15] don't sign this thing, the whole country [02:16] is going to get blown up." Now, Iran's [02:18] foreign ministry spokesperson held a [02:20] press conference today saying the [02:21] Iranians have not yet agreed to attend [02:23] the negotiating table tomorrow in [02:25] Islamabad, Pakistan. He said they are [02:27] reviewing American proposals. Guys, So, [02:30] I understand they they because of this [02:33] uh take out of that ship, now they say [02:36] that shows that we they'll be [02:37] retaliation [02:39] and that they were not serious about the [02:40] diplomatic process. So, it's just hard [02:42] for me to believe, Trey, that they're [02:44] going to [02:45] uh [02:46] say this and not show up at the [02:49] bargaining table and not think the [02:50] ceasefire is over and the war will [02:53] resume. [02:56] Yeah, absolutely. And look, the Iranian [02:57] messaging is totally disconnected. We [02:59] heard late last week from Iran's foreign [03:01] minister saying the Strait of Hormuz is [03:03] open, and then just hours later, IRGC [03:06] vessels were firing on ships trying to [03:08] pass through this critical waterway. And [03:10] it gives you a sense of just how [03:11] disconnected the Iranians are. At the [03:13] negotiating table, though, we're looking [03:15] at three separate things. One has to do [03:17] with the enriched uranium that is buried [03:19] deep underground. The second has to do [03:21] with the Strait of Hormuz. And the third [03:23] with the support of regional proxies [03:24] like Hamas, the Houthis, and Hezbollah. [03:27] The Iranians are looking for any excuse [03:28] to say they won't participate in these [03:30] talks, but the president has drawn a [03:32] very strong red line in the sand saying [03:34] that if they do not sign on the dotted [03:36] line, this war is going to resume and he [03:38] is going to target this critical [03:40] infrastructure inside of Iran. So, the [03:41] Iranians have a decision to make right [03:43] now. Do they attend the peace talks in [03:46] Islamabad tomorrow and make a good faith [03:48] deal, or does the war resume? [03:50] You know, I was reading about how we [03:52] took over that ship. We There were [03:54] repeated warnings, Trey, as you have [03:55] said. [03:56] They violated the the blockade, and they [04:00] had instructions, as we played, to leave [04:02] the engine room so that nobody would [04:04] die. We ended up firing this a 5-in MK [04:07] 45 gun into their engine room and blew [04:10] it up. Then we saw the US Marines from a [04:13] helicopter go down on top of of the [04:16] um of their vessel, and we warned them [04:19] about this. So, now we have overtaken [04:21] their vessel. What happens now? I assume [04:23] our Marines are safe. You told us that [04:24] in the first first hour, the ones who [04:26] went on their vessel. What about the the [04:28] men on board their vessel, the Iranians? [04:30] And what happens to their vessel? [04:33] It's a great question, and the president [04:35] told me yesterday, he said, "It's almost [04:37] like the Iranians never learn." You have [04:39] the strongest military in the world [04:41] deployed to the Middle East right now, [04:43] and the US Navy gave not only this [04:44] vessel, but a variety of other vessels [04:46] clear warning not to pass the blockade. [04:49] This is a very simple blockade. Iranian [04:51] ports are closed in this area as a [04:53] result of the Iranian threat against US [04:55] forces and their inability to keep the [04:57] Strait of Hormuz open. And so, as it [05:00] relates to this vessel, it will remain [05:02] in US custody, we are told by US Central [05:04] Command, but we know up to two dozen [05:06] other vessels over the weekend actually [05:08] adhered to the US warnings and turned [05:10] around and went back to port or close to [05:12] the shoreline. Moving forward, this is [05:14] going to be a critical area to watch [05:16] because the Iranians are testing US [05:18] forces in the region, and they are [05:20] testing this very fragile ceasefire that [05:22] is set to expire in less than two days. [05:25] If the war does resume, we can expect [05:27] more strikes against the IRGC and what [05:29] is left of their navy. We know more than [05:30] 150 Iranian navy vessels are currently [05:33] resting at the bottom of the sea as a [05:35] result of those US and Israeli strikes [05:37] during Operation Epic Fury, but they [05:39] still have these smaller vessels that [05:40] they can use to try to disrupt [05:42] international shipping. The reality [05:44] here, the Iranians do not have leverage [05:46] at the negotiating table. They're trying [05:48] to project strength, but they are [05:49] disconnected internally, and their [05:51] foreign minister and president are [05:52] saying one thing while IRGC commanders [05:55] are saying something else. And so, these [05:57] critical hours ahead are going to be [05:58] important to watch for two reasons. One, [06:00] to see if they try to cause any [06:02] additional problems in the Strait of [06:04] Hormuz, and two, to see if they actually [06:06] show up to the negotiating table [06:07] tomorrow. We know that top US officials [06:09] will be there in Islamabad waiting to [06:11] see if the Iranians are willing to sign [06:13] this deal. And the president was clear, [06:15] if they do not sign this agreement, he [06:17] is going to hit their power plants and [06:18] their bridges. So, Trey, real quickly, [06:21] the the Pakistanis who the president [06:24] seems to have some respect for, they've [06:26] been hosting these these negotiations, [06:29] but I was surprised when I heard that [06:30] the Pakistani president uh as well as [06:34] one of the generals there recommended [06:36] that the president end the blockade. I [06:39] mean, that's just a non-starter for the [06:41] president of the United States, but he [06:42] said he would take it under [06:42] consideration. [06:45] The president and top Trump [06:47] administration officials have praised [06:48] Pakistan for their role in these [06:50] negotiations. They understand that at [06:52] this point, given the fact that so many [06:54] of these Gulf countries that [06:55] traditionally are mediators in [06:56] international conflicts such as the [06:58] Qataris aren't involved in this. And [07:00] that's because they were taking direct [07:01] incoming Iranian fire during Operation [07:04] Epic Fury. And a few weeks ago, the [07:05] president said he was most surprised by [07:07] this, the fact that mediators like the [07:09] Qataris were taking drone and missile [07:11] fire from the Iranians. So, the onus has [07:13] rested on Pakistan to find a solution [07:15] here. And you even had officials from [07:17] Islamabad fly to Tehran late last week [07:20] to send a direct message in person to [07:22] the Iranian delegation that this is the [07:24] last chance. And so, the president has [07:26] praised Pakistan publicly and privately [07:29] as it relates to their role in these [07:30] negotiations, and they will be this key [07:33] intermediary in the hours ahead to try [07:35] to get the Iranians to the table to see [07:37] if this deal can move forward. Well, and [07:39] then we're going to see the price of oil [07:40] obviously fluctuate uh judging by the [07:43] promise from these meetings. And last [07:45] thing, how much pressure do you think is [07:47] on Vice President Vance to produce [07:48] something? [07:52] I think the pressure is really on the [07:53] Iranians. That's the sense that I gather [07:55] from not only administration officials [07:57] in Washington, but also from Israeli [07:58] officials here. They say, "This rest on [08:01] Iran to make a decision." Because the [08:03] president is once again extending an [08:05] olive branch, an off-ramp, and he's been [08:07] quite clear in terms of what happens [08:09] next if they do not sign on the dotted [08:11] line. [08:19] admit defeat on the battlefield that the [08:21] enriched uranium can never stay in their [08:23] country, that they can't continue with a [08:24] nuclear program toward a weapon that [08:26] could be used against US forces or [08:28] allies across the Middle East, and stop [08:30] this destabilizing activity across the [08:32] region. All right, thanks, Trey. Good [08:34] job, Trey. [08:36] Okay. [08:37] Uh we got to make sense of all of this, [08:40] and we will. Uh one thing that we see [08:43] here is that um [08:46] these these American journalists are [08:49] kind of, you you know, over and over [08:51] again in that conversation, they're [08:52] saying like it it it they the Iranians [08:55] don't it it it doesn't seem to make any [08:56] sense. Why are they behaving this way? [08:58] And and President Trump is like, "Why [09:00] are they behaving this way? Why did they [09:01] attack?" You brought up again, "Why did [09:03] they attack all their uh you know, all [09:05] the Gulf states who had been who had [09:07] been previously mediators?" And "Why are [09:09] they behaving the way they're behaving?" [09:10] And they seem so disjointed. Now, in the [09:12] past, [09:13] I have argued, since the beginning of [09:14] the war, since before the war started, [09:16] that the Iranian regime's primary goal [09:19] is simply to survive. They're they're [09:22] not uh [09:24] they're they're not primarily concerned [09:26] with how much damage is done to their [09:28] country. They're certainly not concerned [09:29] with the wellbeing of the citizens of [09:32] Iran. They couldn't care less about [09:33] that. All they care about, really, is [09:35] that when the dust settles on all of [09:37] this, the regime is still standing. [09:39] And uh and that's really uh something we [09:43] have to keep in mind. Like, what is [09:44] going on internally in Iran? And is this [09:48] just more tough talk? Is this them [09:50] avoiding negotiations because they'd [09:51] still rather go to war? Or is there more [09:54] happening? So, early on in this [09:57] uh in this clip, Trey Yingst mentioned [10:00] that the Iranian uh Foreign Ministry [10:03] spokesman held a press conference. Well, [10:06] this is what we're going to take a look [10:07] at now. Th- This press conference [10:11] uh was written up as the [10:15] as the um [10:17] as the lead story in WANA today. So, [10:19] take a look at WANA, top news. WANA is [10:22] Iranian state media. If you're new to [10:24] this channel, we always pay close [10:25] attention to Iranian state media. And [10:28] the top story is that Baghaei, he's the [10:31] Iranian he's the Foreign Ministry [10:32] spokesman, says "No plans yet for next [10:35] round of negotiations." Now, this [10:37] article is one of the longest articles [10:39] I've ever seen. It's actually the [10:40] longest article I've ever seen in WANA. [10:42] It's huge. We're not going to read [10:44] through this, but what I'm going to give [10:46] you is my uh my summary and take on what [10:50] he was saying [10:52] and in terms of its relevance to where [10:54] we are right now in the war. So, let me [10:57] just get uh [11:00] let me just get right to it. So, [11:03] for the benefit of those who are new to [11:05] these Iranian regime uh videos that I [11:08] make, Iranian regime media videos I [11:10] make, there's no free press in Iran. [11:12] That's obvious. And WANA, the West Asia [11:16] News Agency, publishes uh [11:19] the regime [11:21] the regime talking points. Okay, that's [11:22] what they are. That is their job. Now, [11:24] the benefit of regime media, the reason [11:26] we have to read it so carefully, [11:28] is that it's actually in a way more [11:30] revealing than free media. If I'm If I'm [11:34] in the United States and I'm watching [11:35] the news or I'm reading a a news outlet, [11:38] what's said in the news outlet doesn't [11:39] necessarily signal to me what the [11:41] government is thinking. The benefit of [11:43] regime media is that it's a press [11:46] release, basically. It's propaganda from [11:48] the regime. You just have to know how to [11:49] read it carefully. So, here we go. [11:52] Um [11:54] let's hit it. So, the title [11:56] uh of the piece is [12:00] "No plans yet for next round of [12:03] negotiations." Okay? Now, this is not [12:05] the normal tough talk. Throughout the [12:07] war in the early weeks of the war, and [12:09] especially until very recently, we were [12:11] hearing a lot of tough talk from the [12:14] regime. Uh "We're going to hit the [12:15] Americans hard. We're going to hit the [12:17] Israelis hard. We're not going to back [12:18] down. We're winning." Right? But that's [12:20] not what we're hearing anymore. [12:22] Okay, and that's very important. We're [12:23] going to pay close attention to that [12:25] tone. Uh this is not a show of strength [12:28] anymore. The top story is we haven't [12:31] agreed to the next meeting or we don't [12:33] know yet what we're doing. A confident [12:35] regime wouldn't lead with an [12:37] announcement like that. The headline i- [12:40] is is very um [12:43] is very telling. It's like they're [12:44] signaling to their domestic audience, [12:46] and remember, these stories are [12:47] generally uh [12:49] translated from the Persian, but they're [12:51] signaling that we we haven't broken yet. [12:55] Th- It's not It doesn't sound It's not [12:58] the same confident we're winning voice. [13:00] It's more a voice of we haven't lost. [13:04] Now, America is not running a ceasefire [13:07] here. This is very important to [13:09] understanding everything that's [13:10] happening. Everyone keeps using the term [13:12] ceasefire. [13:13] I've been I've been stressing this in [13:14] recent videos. This is not really a [13:16] ceasefire. This is siege warfare. Yes, [13:20] there It is technically a ceasefire in a [13:22] certain sense. [13:23] It was on the first day of it when Trump [13:27] insisted that the Iranians open the [13:29] Strait of Hormuz to get a ceasefire, and [13:31] then when the Iranians weren't opening [13:33] the Strait of Hormuz, [13:35] um so Trump said, "Okay, we're just [13:37] going to put a blockade on you." So, [13:39] America's not running a ceasefire. This [13:41] is siege warfare. It's a type of [13:43] warfare. It's economic strangulation [13:46] designed to force surrender. [13:49] And the regime is actually confirming [13:51] it. [13:52] So, Baghaei, the Foreign Ministry [13:54] spokesman, [13:55] in he refers directly [13:58] to {quote} the continued naval blockade [14:02] of Iran [14:03] and an attack on Iranian on this Iranian [14:06] commercial vessel. And he says {quote} [14:08] "We are currently facing violations of [14:11] the ceasefire." Now, he's saying this to [14:12] blame the Americans, but let's read past [14:14] the spin. [14:15] The blockade is working. The ships are [14:18] being stopped. The oil exports are being [14:20] disrupted. [14:22] If they were in a position of strength, [14:23] they wouldn't be leading their press [14:25] conference cataloging the ways in which [14:28] the enemy is squeezing it. That's not [14:30] the way the regime usually behaves. What [14:31] we saw earlier in the war is a complete [14:33] denial that America and Israel were [14:35] being successful at all. And here [14:37] they're being much more open about the [14:39] fact that the blockade is a problem. And [14:41] here's the detail that tells you the [14:42] most about the power dynamic. [14:45] Baghaei confirms that the United States [14:48] submitted a 15-point proposal and that [14:50] Iran responded with 10 points of its [14:53] own. His own words, {quote} "After the [14:55] Americans after the Americans presented [14:58] a 15-point proposal, we also submitted [15:00] our own proposal in 10 points. The [15:03] Americans presented, Iran responded." [15:06] Meaning Iran is not setting the agenda. [15:07] It's reacting. [15:09] It's trying to find a floor [15:11] that it can accept without total [15:13] humiliation in response to Trump's plan. [15:18] So, you can see that they're under [15:19] duress here. Now, he immediately tried [15:21] to spin it, and he [15:25] sides to present their views." Sure, but [15:29] not simultaneously. [15:30] I'm sorry, he didn't say that they were [15:32] doing it simultaneously is what I mean. [15:34] The Americans went first, and that [15:35] sequencing [15:37] uh matters. So, I want to [15:39] I want to stop at what I think is the [15:41] single most important moment in the [15:43] entire press conference. [15:45] And it was easy to miss [15:47] because this is a very long article, and [15:48] it's a record of of basically everything [15:51] that was said in this press conference. [15:52] At one point, a journalist asks him, [15:55] "Does the current situation, which is [15:58] neither [16:00] full war [16:01] nor is it [16:03] a clear path to peace, this current [16:06] blockade standoff, does it benefit [16:09] Israel more than Iran?" [16:12] And his answer was one word. He just [16:14] said, "Yes." [16:16] And it was very revealing. It was no [16:17] spin. It was no [16:20] no word salad, no [16:24] you know, [16:25] saber-rattling. It was just yes. The [16:27] regi- This is the regime's spokesman in [16:29] the regime media [16:31] telling you that the current situation, [16:34] the current [16:36] equilibrium, [16:37] is working against Tehran. [16:41] Now, that single word tells you more [16:43] about the real state of this of this [16:45] current war, this current siege, [16:47] blockade, ceasefire situation than [16:49] everything else in the whole document. [16:52] And here's where it gets really [16:53] interesting, and where the text itself [16:55] hands us the evidence of the internal [16:57] paralysis. Now, and in the Fox News [16:59] report, you saw he talked about how [17:02] there's some there seems to be some [17:03] disagreement within the Iranian [17:05] leadership [17:07] about the messaging. And this is And [17:09] we're starting to see real signs of [17:12] breakdown within the Iranian leadership [17:15] that is coming out into the open, and [17:16] that was something that we were looking [17:18] for. Earlier on in the war, I said that [17:20] one of the things that we're going to [17:21] look for as we look down range and and [17:24] look for signs that the that the regime [17:26] is actually falling, [17:28] is internal strife, cuz that's that's uh [17:32] that's an early stage of the regime [17:34] collapsing in this situation, where [17:36] we're going to start seeing infighting [17:37] or evidence of infighting leaking out [17:39] into the media. And that's what we're [17:41] seeing here. And that could be why they [17:44] w- The whole title of this piece was [17:46] that they haven't decided yet whether [17:48] they're going. Doesn't mean that there's [17:50] a group of people who are all on the [17:51] same page who haven't decided yet. It [17:53] appears to be the result of internal [17:55] paralysis because of a disagreement [17:57] between different factions in the [17:59] leadership. [18:00] And so i- So, in the press conference, a [18:02] journalist asked about contradictory [18:05] positions and behavior by US officials. [18:09] Now, remember, this is a propaganda [18:11] piece. The US has not been giving mixed [18:14] messages. The US messaging has been on [18:16] point and very clear. There hasn't been [18:18] contradictory positions and behavior by [18:20] US officials. This is a piece of [18:22] projection, very common in propaganda. [18:25] So, Baghaei pivots in a way that's very [18:28] telling. He says {quote} "There is no [18:30] doubt that internal conflicts in the [18:33] United States are one of the main [18:36] factors shaping the behavior of American [18:38] officials." Now, he's he he's he's [18:40] talking about America, but he's actually [18:41] talking about Iran. He's actually [18:43] describing what's going on in the [18:44] Iranian leadership. [18:46] Because [18:47] look what else is in this press [18:48] conference. Baghaei had to a one point, [18:51] he had to publicly defend the Foreign [18:53] Minister's tweet about reopening the [18:55] Strait of Hormuz. Trey Yingst mentioned [18:57] that in his report in that Fox clip that [18:59] the Foreign Minister [19:01] Araqchi, who's this guy's boss, had put [19:04] out a tweet saying the Straits of Hormuz [19:06] were open. Then the IRGC commander said, [19:08] "No, no, no, no, no." [19:10] And he had to back and he had to [19:12] backtrack. So, they have to kind of do [19:14] damage control here. So, look what he [19:16] says here. So, Baghaei [19:18] in this press conference is saying that [19:22] yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, Araqchi [19:24] didn't go rogue. It was {quote} "part of [19:26] an agreement reached during the [19:27] ceasefire." What do you mean part of an [19:29] agreement? That he he put out a tweet [19:30] that was then repudiated by the IRGC? [19:35] The fact that this spokesman is [19:37] defending the Foreign Minister's tweet [19:40] in this press conference, [19:43] which is to a domestic audience, [19:45] is because it's controversial, because [19:49] there are different voices, and even the [19:50] domestic audience is now hearing [19:53] different voices. That's a sign of a [19:55] real crack in the regime. The domestic [19:58] audience is hearing different messaging. [20:00] The IRGC leadership and the foreign [20:03] minister and his guys who are closer to [20:06] the president position who are more [20:09] moderate are now openly disagreeing with [20:12] each other or more openly disagreeing [20:14] with each other. That's what I'm trying [20:15] to say here. I'm sorry if I'm being [20:16] confusing. [20:20] In other words, [20:21] let me simplify this. When she put out [20:23] the tweet that said that the Strait of [20:25] Hormuz was open, the IRGC commanders [20:28] saw that as a concession that went too [20:30] far. They repudiated it and they closed [20:33] the Strait of Hormuz. [20:34] Then there's this part. Bagheri says, [20:37] "The foreign ministry [20:40] as the diplomatic body does not take any [20:43] action without coordination with higher [20:45] authorities." [20:47] Of course. [20:49] Of course the foreign ministry in any [20:51] country, the foreign ministry or what in [20:52] America is called the State Department, [20:54] isn't going to take any action without [20:56] coordination with higher authorities. [20:57] Why do you even have to say that? That's [20:59] not a statement that you make when [21:01] coordination is going smoothly. It's a [21:03] statement you make when you need to [21:04] reassure people that coordination is [21:06] going smoothly because everyone realizes [21:09] that coordination is not going smoothly. [21:12] Okay? This is a regime where the foreign [21:15] ministry is defending itself [21:20] for not being on the same page with what [21:23] is actually happening. That's what's [21:24] happening in this part of the press [21:25] conference. [21:27] And then and then the press conference [21:29] moves to the topic of uranium [21:30] enrichment. On the the American demand [21:33] for zero uranium enrichment. And here [21:36] Bagheri [21:37] um [21:39] says, "The US quote insists on certain [21:42] unreasonable and unrealistic positions." [21:45] And he quotes a Persian proverb that [21:48] America is is [21:50] is testing what has already been tested [21:52] and that is a mistake. [21:55] What's that supposed to mean? So [21:58] the regime cannot accept zero enrichment [22:02] without [22:03] uh [22:04] existential domestic humiliation. Okay, [22:06] the thing that they fear the most is the [22:08] fall of the regime. That's what I [22:09] started with. [22:11] The thing they what they fear the most [22:13] is the fall of the regime and they still [22:15] believe that the regime will ultimately [22:17] fall or not fall based on how they are [22:19] perceived by their own people. Keep this [22:23] in mind with everything else going on, [22:25] with all the bombing, all the [22:26] destruction of potentially the [22:28] destruction of infrastructure that we [22:29] might see in the coming days of the way [22:31] Trump is talking. [22:33] They don't [snorts] view any of that [22:35] as as much of a threat to the regime as [22:38] being weak and humiliated in the eyes of [22:41] the people of Iran because that's [22:43] ultimately [clears throat] [22:44] the only thing that can bring down the [22:45] regime. [22:47] And that's why they can't accept the [22:49] zero enrichment because they climbed up [22:51] that tree and they insisted on it so [22:53] stridently for so long that they can't [22:56] accept zero enrichment without [22:58] existential humiliation. Humiliation [23:00] that really threatens the existence of [23:02] the regime. Washington knows this and [23:05] that's why the demand stays on the table [23:08] and is reiterated [23:10] all the time by Marco Rubio, by [23:12] President Trump and by J.D. Vance all [23:15] the time precisely to ensure that [23:17] there's no way for the regime to save [23:20] face. Now, why don't the Americans want [23:22] to give them any way to save face? [23:23] Because this isn't really a negotiation. [23:26] This isn't really a deal. [23:29] This is what I've been talking about for [23:30] for a couple weeks now. [23:32] This is an attempt to get them to [23:34] surrender, to unconditionally surrender [23:36] to the demands of the US. Think back to [23:38] President Trump saying after the first [23:41] round of negotiations fell apart that he [23:43] won't even accept 90 or 95% of all of [23:46] his demands. He will only accept 100% of [23:48] them. [23:50] So the Americans aren't living leaving [23:51] any room for a deal that the regime can [23:55] call a victory and that keeps the [23:56] pressure on. And the regime's paralysis, [23:59] this paralysis between those who want to [24:01] cut a deal and and the IRGC who wants to [24:04] stay in a state of war gets deeper and [24:07] deeper because they can't say yes to the [24:09] Americans [24:11] but they also but the Americans aren't [24:12] going to take this off the table. [24:16] Okay, so what does this press conference [24:17] actually tell us that I'm reading uh [24:19] this article about? [24:21] The blockade is working. That's number [24:22] one. [24:24] Let's sum this whole thing up. The [24:25] blockade is working. The negotiations [24:27] aren't really a negotiation. [24:29] They're holding a gun to the head and [24:31] saying sign this and basically [24:34] surrender. It's a surrender agreement. [24:35] It's not really a negotiation. [24:38] The foreign ministry meanwhile is [24:39] defending itself to the hardliners [24:42] in the IRGC [24:45] who are really running the show. [24:48] And as I pointed out, the spokesman had [24:50] this one unguarded moment where he [24:52] admitted that the current situation [24:54] favors Israel, not the kind of rhetoric [24:56] you'd ever hear from them in the past. [24:59] So the regime is for the first time [25:02] in these last few days but really in [25:04] this press conference, we are seeing [25:05] that the regime is not even really [25:07] projecting strength. The bravado is [25:09] gone. [25:11] And I believe that that means that the [25:12] regime is panicking. [25:14] And the and the top decision makers are [25:16] unable to agree on whether to hold the [25:18] line or find an exit ramp. [25:21] And and that's why the headline is that [25:23] they haven't decided whether or not to [25:25] go to the negotiations. That's really [25:26] telling. [25:28] And [25:30] this paralysis is the beginning of [25:34] the road to surrender in my opinion. [25:38] The ceasefire is not a ceasefire. It's a [25:40] siege. The siege is working. [25:43] And the regime has revealed that to us [25:46] when we read between the lines of this [25:48] press conference. And that's what you [25:49] learn when you read the propaganda [25:51] carefully. I hope this made sense. [25:53] But I really think that that we're at a [25:55] turning point in the war. [25:57] The siege warfare is working. The regime [25:59] is panicking. [26:01] Internal fighting, that's the precursor [26:03] to some sort of internal collapse. [26:05] Uh the next days are going to be very [26:07] telling. [26:09] And uh and this is the way sieges work. [26:11] The siege puts pressure on the regime [26:13] and prevents them from being able to [26:14] drag things out and they're not used to [26:17] that. The Persians [26:19] the Persian mind and and the way the [26:21] Iranians always always negotiate, they [26:24] like the more things are dragged out and [26:27] slow, the more they gain from that [26:29] process. And this this this uh blockade, [26:33] this siege which accelerates things and [26:36] and puts them under the gun [26:38] and Trump's deadlines are causing them [26:41] to panic and uh and I think things are [26:44] going to big things are going to be [26:45] happening in the days in [26:48] uh you know, sooner than we even realize [26:50] in the days ahead. [26:52] Um and [26:54] please in the description of this video, [26:56] please make sure to subscribe to the [26:58] Israel 365 news and action newsletters. [27:02] Please make sure you do that so you can [27:03] stay on top of all of the content that [27:05] we're putting out and uh you can stay [27:07] plugged in to all the important issues [27:09] of the day with Israel and the Middle [27:10] East. God bless.
